|
ALL the information in the Robin Dayne Newsletter
is for educational purposes only and is the sole property
of Robin Dayne Inc. (RDI) and may not be duplicated, recorded
or reproduced in any way and includes: verbal, print, e-mail,
or any media vehicle without the written permission of RDI.

Top Traders Advice
Futures
By Chris Vermeulen
Back 2 Back Reversals for the Stock
Market
July 21st, 2010
It’s been another strong week for equities but are stocks
and commodities about to get hit with some selling pressure?
I have put together a short video coving all
of these investments but here is my Coles Note Version:
US Dollar:
The Dollar is way oversold and looking ready for a multi day
bounce. This will put pressure stocks and commodities.
Crude Oil:
Oil is trading at resistance and with the Fed minutes reported
today saying they are some what concerned about the economy
still this pulled oil down late in the day. Also if the US
Dollar bounces it will add downward pressure to oil.
Gold:
It’s a tough call on gold because it could go either
way here… It could be seen as a safe haven in stocks
fall in the coming days, or if the US Dollar moves up then
it will put more downward pressure to gold. I feel money can
be made a breakout to the up side or the down side. Explained
in the video.The market continues to become quicker and fiercer
as it move up and down 2+% on a regular basis This week we
have seen some wild price swings due to earnings, events and
the Fed’s which just makes trading that much more intense.
I have pointed out yesterday that this market
only gives you a brief moment to take profits before it starts
going wild shaking traders out of positions. This increased
volatility is caused from a couple of things:
1. Traders/Investors know the financial system
is still riddled with unethical practices/manipulation. This
causes everyone to be extra jumpy/emotional and causes volume
surges in the market as the herd starts to get greedy or fearful.
2. Volume overall on the buying side of things just isn’t
there… I see some nice waves of buying but it doesn’t
move the market up much… then it only takes a small
wave of sellers for the market to drop… Investors are
just scared to buy stocks and that is not a good thing…
I keep a close eye on the buying and selling
volume for the NYSE as it tends to help pin tops and bottom
within a 2-3 day period. In short when we get panic buying
meaning 75%+ of volume is from buyers then I know the general
public is jumping into the market buying everything up and
that’s when the smart money starts to scale out of their
position selling to these retail investors. These retail investors
are buying on news and excitement much like what we are seeing
now with earnings season. Stocks have run up for 5-10 days,
as the smart money buys in on anticipation of good news, then
the earnings are released which are better than expected and
the stocks pop and drop. Well the pop higher on BIG volume
are all the retail investors buying and are generally the
last ones in. The smart money is quickly selling into this
buying surge so they end up getting out at high prices.Read
More
Futures
By David Banister
Scaling into Trades for Profits
July 20th, 2010
At Active Trading Partners, we believe that
nobody can predict exact bottoms nor tops, but we can certainly
come close. In light of that belief, we “scale in”
to our preferred trade set ups using 1/3 trenches at a time.
Using our backdrop of looking for waterfall decline entry
points for reversal profits, we add in some Elliott Wave theory
and Fibonacci figures to mix up our recipe. As we see a trade
set up coming around the bend, we begin to “Scale In”
to our trades as each Fibonacci or Wave pattern is reached.
Samples are our recent trade into BGZ, which is 3x short the
Russell 1000 Index. The Elliott Patterns we interpreted said
the market rally would wane as we hit 1071/1074, 1085, and
1092. As those areas were hit on the SP 500, we would purchase
1/3 positions into BGZ, inevitably profiting from the overbought
reversal to the downside in the markets. This reversal happened
on cue on Friday last week, July 16th. Our BGZ position rose
8.5% in just one day of trade, allowing us to enter into a
“green” profitable territory on our scaled in
position. Read More
|