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May 9, 2010
Trading is 95% Emotional Management!
Are YOU the MASTER of your emotions?


Newsletter

Late Breaking News

Chris Vermeulen
Commodity & Index ETF Trading Strategy
May 9, 2010


Stock Watch 2010

Company Answers Corporation.
Stock Symbol: ANSW

May 7th Closed at 8.14
April 30th Closed at 8.45

Positioned as a long trade.

Status

This week ANSW took a hit as did many stocks with the unusual action in the markets. Though it hit a high during the week of 8.89 it lost ground and pulled back over .64 to finish at the 8.14.


Current Investment Opportunity
by CM Capital Services


New First Trust Deed
Opportunity
Short Term Loan Pays
10% to 10.25%


CM Capital Services continues to search the western states for quality real estate loans that will yield double digit annual returns for our investors.  Just north of Salt Lake City, an experienced Utah team seeks funds to purchase and complete development of a highly desirable residential community.   

Phase One of The Old Farm at Kay’s Creek features 24 distinctive lots zoned for single family homes.  All 24 lots are currently reserved by end buyers.  Our borrower was able to negotiate an extremely favorable purchase price with a local bank looking to get these lots off its balance sheet.   

Proving, yet again, that in this real estate market only the savvy need apply, our borrower is purchasing this high quality development for a fraction of its previous value.  

We are lending 43% of the “as developed” value of this property.  Interest to investors will be paid monthly at an annual rate of 10% to 10.25%.  The loan term is 6 months with two optional 90 day extensions possible.  Take a look at the attached fact sheet for all of the details.


If you are looking for a quality income investment that is short term, then act quickly and call or email us at the numbers below.  Our investment minimum remains $10,000.

Current Opportunities

First Trust Deed Opportunity
Old Farm at Kays Creek, LLC Loan #3289

For More Info Contact:

Jay York
jyork@CMemail.com
702-739-9090
Be sure to mention this Newsletter


Trader Testimonials

The day in 2007 that I e-mailed Robin for help, I was ready to give up trading. I was at the point where just looking at charts would give me an anxiety attack. I was literally frozen at the screen. Whenever I did manage to trade, invariably it would be a loss! I needed help, fast. 

With the coaching, several blocks that had set in over a period of time were identified and "scrambled" or neutralized. Within a very short period, my fear of losing again was no longer freezing me up. My anxiety was a thing of the past. I could trade again!
Over time, other blocks popped up, which I scrambled with a similar positive outcome.

Robin teaches you to scramble, using a very simple technique that you can do with a friend or partner, for trading or even for other issues in your life. 

With the 1-2-3 process, Robin taught me to analyze each and every trade taken, good or bad .Previously, when I had a winning trade, I just basked in the short-lived glory of the winning trade, and conversely just buried my head in the sand when I had a losing trade, I did not want to re-live the pain! So I was not learning from my mistakes and I wasn’t learning from my successes. By facing each trade and making a proper objective analysis, I could then construct a set of my own rules for trading, based on my theoretical knowledge of technical analysis.

Over time, these rules were refined and adapted. This provided me with a trading plan or system that suited my personality. This was crucial to me, as there are 1000 ways to trade, but none may be suited to you or your personality.

Working with Robin has given my trading a rock solid foundation. I am eternally grateful to her for this.
EDNA


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“How to Survive a Trading Blow-Up

By Robin Dayne

ALERT to all TRADERS!



With the historic week we just had and the effects of the Global breaking news it is critical that all traders be on alert.
I have had many calls of traders "Blowing-up" or making a fortune this past week and being alert an caytious is so important.

If you are inexperinenced PLEASE be careful not to over trade. If experienced than use your judgement. We could be in for another wild ride given the breaking news from Europe.

So I have decided to pass on a free presentation How to Survive a Trading Blow-up I will leave on the website for the Month of May as a gift.

Check it out and please be safe! and Great Trading!

How to Survive a Trading Blow-Up


Futures
By Chris Vermeulen

Stock Market Micro Intraday Crash Shows Us Where The Safe Havens Are
May 6, 2010


WOW…. Now that was an exciting day in the market!!

This day will be talked about for years to come and the individual who hit the wrong button (“B” for billion instead of “M” for million) to sell billions instead of millions will have a tough time finding another job… Maybe this person can do commercials for Microsoft Windows showing how one simple key stroke can crash a system… lol

On a more serious note, a member in the chat room had a good point… Who would create a program that can not only bankrupt the company in one key stroke but also crash the entire broad market in 10 minutes losing millions of investor’s hard earned money??

I will keep this short with my Cole Notes Version on a few opinions of mine.

Banks – Good for taking your money and crashing the markets

All we have heard about in the past year is bank this, and bank that…. They take our money, bet on crazy investments, lose it, then get free money from the Feds to replace that lost money and they keep it for them selves….

Well today the market crashed because of a bank which should not be a surprise after everything else they have messed up. But to add more to the fire I had a lot of subscribers and followers today tell me they tried to trade with their brokers and they could not get orders to be executed. When I asked these individuals who they are using I got the same response… They were trading through a bank… like TDWaterhouse and many others… This really makes my upset as I hate watching the bad guys (banks) keep winning/taking everyone’s money…..

Stock Market Circuit Breakers Failed

I find it amazing how the financial system has circuit breakers to protect investors from a market crash yet today they did not get triggered…

Rule is (and dumb one in my opinion) is that a circuit breaker (halts trading on the stock market for a set period of time) can only be triggered before 2:30pm ET. Funny thing is that the crash happened 7 minutes after 2:30. Manipulation???

2-3 Week Market Correction, Corrected in One Day

A pullback in the broad market which normally would have taken a few weeks at the most happened in one afternoon which is amazing really. Don’t get me wrong, I thought what happen today was very interesting, profitable and a lot of fun. But a move this drastic does throw a wrench into everyone technical analysis and it will be a few days before we get enough price action to start piecing this market back together for what looks most likely to unfold in the coming days and weeks.

Gold & US Dollar Rally Together

The past 2 weeks we have seen gold and the dollar move up together. This is very strong for gold. Even if we see the dollar roll over and head south that would help boost the price of gold… The short term charts for gold are looking tired be sure to watch the video below.Read More


Equities
By Michael Markowski

Commodities and the Shares of all Commodity Related Companies Should be Avoided.
May 6th, 2010

Due to the action of the Euro or the profound weakness that it is having against the U.S. Dollar I am advising against the investment in or the holding of all commodities including gold and precious metals. I am also suggesting that investors avoid the shares of those companies who are commodities oriented such as Alcoa (NYSE:AA), Exxon Mobil (NYSE:XOM), etc. This includes the shares of the five remaining gold mining companies, which were originally recommended by BearMarketTracker on August 4, 2009.

Since all commodities are priced in U.S. Dollars any significant change in the relationship or the exchange rate between other currencies and the Dollar results in a repricing of commodities in U.S. Dollar terms. Oil is a good example of why this phenomen occurs because it similar to almost all commodities has price elasticity. Price elasticity means that when price of something goes up the demand for it falls and vice versa. Should the Euro fall by 50% versus the Dollar the price of a barrel of oil or a liter of gas would increase by 100% throughout Europe because it costs twice as much for a deflated Euro to purchase a U.S. Dollar, which is the universal metric, which is used to price oil and all commodities. In simple terms, the spike in the price of a commodity in a country due to a 50% decline in its currency will significantly decrease the demand for that commodity in that country. Oil or gasoline is good example because when the price goes up dramatically conservation measures are enacted such as the reduction of the usage of autos and increased usage of public transportation. A significant decrease in the demand for gasoline increases the supply of gasoline with the only logical outcome being that the price of gasoline would have to decline.

Because all commodities have price elasticity its impossible for their prices to not decline when they are priced in a currency (U.S. Dollar) which is appreciating against other currencies (Euro). Therefore, in order to maintain the equilibrium between supply and demand a 50% decline in the Euro versus the U.S. Dollar would likely result in a 50% decline in the price of the commodities in U.S. Dollar terms.

Should the Euro fall from its all time high versus the Dollar back to its all time low the move would account for a decline of 50% from peak to trough. Should this happen the prices of all commodities would likely decline by 50%. Read More

 

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Top Traders Advice


Futures
By Chris Vermeulen

The Moment If Truth for Gold, Silver, Oil & SP500
May 5th, 2010


It has been an exciting couple weeks with the stock market slowly forming its top before breaking down this week. I have been warning everyone keep tightening your protective stops and to keep new positions small because once prices start to sell off they will most likely drop like a rock.

This week we have seen all the markets around the world breakdown and this indicates that there could be some large waves of selling in the near future. Traders and investors are very bullish on both stocks and commodities and financial market is designed to hurt the largest group of investors possible.Read More


Equities
By Michael Markowski

Shares of Pure Play in the Online Investor Education Industry Up 40% on Stock Market’s Biggest Down Day in Months
May 5th, 2010

Yesterday (May 4, 2010), a day in which the Dow Jones Industrials declined by over 200 points, the shares of Global Investor Services, Inc., (OTCBB:GISV) gained by over 40% and closed at $.05.

Global, in 2009 underwent a significant surgery that it was lucky to survive. The company scrapped its high overhead and low gross profit margin brick and mortar business model and replaced with what I believe to be is a state of the art highly profitable online revenue and fulfillment model. For more information on this transformation I suggest a review of my report “Deal with Canada’s Fastest growing Online Broker Validates Emerging Company’s Business Model” that was published on November 11, 2009. I also suggest a review of my two articles “Betting the Odds” and “Cyber Gains” in which I discussed the opportunity that the investor education industry presents to investors.

Global’s financial statements have shown vast improvements in its results over its last two quarters:

•Actual gross profits increased even though revenue fell by over 40% in each of the last two quarters.

•Annualized Cash Flow From Operations improved for each of the last two quarters.

Both of the above are telltale signs of a successful transformation by a company from a change in its business models or products. When a company completely guts its existing business model investors should expect a sharp decline in revenue with an increase in gross profit margins. This is because the ramping up of the sales of the new products and services are masked by previous year earlier comparisons that were based on the revenue from the previous business model or products. Investors should not be disappointed as the most recent financial results by Global Investor Services indicate that this transformation is taking place.

Global’s new online business model is infinitely better than its previous one because it is highly scalable and its gross margins increase with each additional online customer they acquire. The model is scalable because the capital expenditures required for it to exponentially increase its revenue is insignificant.Read More


Options
By Stan Moore


Further Update on BTIM's new deal. Market has problems with Greece.
May 5th, 2010

Last week, I said that I intended to cover the macro picture a bit in my next issue if events did not intervene. Specifically, I wanted to tell you why I expect dramatic tumult in the stock market to continue. Additionally, I planned to explain again why transformational, disruptive technologies are the surest way to exploit the confusion and avoid the consequences of the ongoing stupidity at the heart of this mess.

To this end, my colleague Ray Blanco and I arranged a private videoconference seminar with one of the best economists working today, Jeff Scott of Cognilytics. It was an extremely interesting discussion that yielded new insights into the role that technological change played in the housing crisis that, in turn, led to the implosion of the global financial system. More accurately, it was the inability of the financial elite to recognize and accept that technological change, but I'll have to tell you about it another time.

Events have, in fact, intervened. Another patent ruling has shaken the stem cell industry. This ruling, of course, is close on the heels of the court decision that just overturned patents on human genes. That decision is not final yet and may end up in the Supreme Court. It could, however, overturn the important telomerase gene patent owned by Geron Corp. (NASDAQ: GERN).

The ruling I'm going to discuss today could also impact Geron's IP library and its future. Specifically, on April 28, 2010, the U.S. Patent and Trademark Office effectively voided U.S. Patent No. 7,029,913, owned by scientific IP powerhouse the Wisconsin Alumni Research Foundation (WARF). The decision reversed an earlier determination by a USPTO examiner and, like the gene patent decision, will almost certainly be appealed.

The patent in question broadly covers the use of human embryonic stem cells. It was issued on April 18, 2006, and set to expire in 2016. The point, however, is that Geron bought exclusive rights to the eSC patent from WARF. This is why Geron's own press release simultaneously plays down the ruling and emphasizes that it may be reestablished in review.

I'm not saying, however, that the company's IP is completely unprotected without patent 7,029,913. This broad central eSC patent has been bolstered by many other patents. These are known as “picket fence” patents that cover various details of the implementation of the major patent.

Even without Patent No. 7,029,913, Geron has significant patent protections regarding use of eSCs and probably, more importantly, induced pluripotent SCs. Its press release, in fact, points out that “For example, we hold method patents covering processes used to produce differentiated, functional cells, and composition patents that cover the differentiated cells themselves. Our patent portfolio is substantial today, and it will continue to grow in parallel with our technical development work, providing Geron with long-term protection for our stem cell products.”

This is a typical biotech IP strategy. First you go for the broad patent based on the big idea. Then you bolster it with as many method or “picket fence” patents as possible. Then, if the broad concept patent doesn't stand, you can still protect your technology with myriad patents on specific techniques developed by the company to exploit the larger concept.

So I'm not yet giving the sell signal on Geron. Besides these “picket fence” patents that impact critically important induced pluripotent stem cells, many legal analysts expect that it will win its appeal and maintain ownership of the telomerase gene. On the other hand, I do want to tell you why the ruling against WARF could be extremely good news for BioTime Inc. (AMEX: BTIM). Read More

P.S.
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